Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000674 0.000767 0.000865 0.000976 0.001098 0.001229 0.001378
2025-09-07 0.000526 0.000654 0.000799 0.000974 0.001178 0.001407 0.001684
2025-09-14 0.000446 0.000590 0.000760 0.000974 0.001233 0.001535 0.001911
2025-09-21 0.000381 0.000533 0.000720 0.000964 0.001269 0.001636 0.002104
2025-09-28 0.000328 0.000482 0.000680 0.000947 0.001291 0.001715 0.002268
2025-10-05 0.000301 0.000463 0.000676 0.000972 0.001364 0.001856 0.002512
2025-10-12 0.000276 0.000442 0.000669 0.000991 0.001426 0.001984 0.002740
2025-10-19 0.000245 0.000411 0.000643 0.000982 0.001451 0.002062 0.002904
2025-10-26 0.000217 0.000380 0.000616 0.000968 0.001466 0.002127 0.003051
2025-11-02 0.000200 0.000363 0.000607 0.000978 0.001513 0.002234 0.003255
2025-11-09 0.000182 0.000344 0.000592 0.000979 0.001546 0.002322 0.003436
2025-11-16 0.000159 0.000314 0.000558 0.000949 0.001533 0.002345 0.003527
2025-11-23 0.000139 0.000287 0.000527 0.000921 0.001522 0.002371 0.003623
2025-11-30 0.000126 0.000271 0.000513 0.000918 0.001547 0.002448 0.003792
2025-12-07 0.000115 0.000257 0.000501 0.000918 0.001576 0.002530 0.003970
2025-12-14 0.000103 0.000241 0.000484 0.000909 0.001589 0.002589 0.004115
2025-12-21 0.000092 0.000224 0.000464 0.000893 0.001591 0.002631 0.004236
2025-12-28 0.000088 0.000221 0.000469 0.000917 0.001657 0.002769 0.004499
2026-01-04 0.000083 0.000216 0.000469 0.000935 0.001712 0.002892 0.004741
2026-01-11 0.000075 0.000204 0.000455 0.000926 0.001724 0.002951 0.004890
2026-01-18 0.000067 0.000191 0.000439 0.000913 0.001729 0.002996 0.005020
2026-01-25 0.000063 0.000186 0.000436 0.000923 0.001770 0.003100 0.005237
2026-02-01 0.000058 0.000178 0.000428 0.000924 0.001797 0.003180 0.005422